Journal of Environmental Science International (한국환경과학회지)

The Korean Environmental Sciences Society (한국환경과학회)
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A Study on the Effect of Air Temperature Change due to Industrialization in Ulsan Area

산업화에 따른 울산지역의 기온변동 효과에 관한 연구

  • Cho, Eek-Hyun (Dept. of Atmospheric Science, Busan National University) ;
  • Ahn, Joong-Bae (Dept. of Atmospheric Science, Busan National University, Research Institute of Computer,Information and Communication) ;
  • Sohn, Keon-Tae (Dept. of Statstics, Pusan National University)
  • 조익현 (부산대학교 대기과학과) ;
  • 안중배 (부산대학교 대기과학과, 컴퓨터 및 정보통신연구소, 부산대학교 통계학과) ;
  • 손건태
  • Published : 1998.04.01
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Abstract

In this research, two stochastic models are considered to detect and estimate the effect of air temperature change due to Industrialization In Ulsan area. Using the monthly mean minimum air temperature anomalies, the data are divided Into pre-Industrialization part and Industrialization one for analysis. The ARM(autoregressive moving-average) model and intervention model have been applied to the data for the analysis. The results show that the variability of minimum temperature anomalies are very significant In 1989, and also significant In 1971 when the Industrialization have started. Therefore, It Is stochastically possible to estimate the time when the affection of Increase of the temperature concerning Industrialization to climate change In Usm area has happened.

Keywords

References

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