Applied Neural Net to Implementation of Influence Diagram Model Based Decision Class Analysis

영향도에 기초한 의사결정유형분석 구현을 위한 신경망 응용

This paper presents an application of an artificial neural net to the implementation of decision class analysis (DCA), together with the generation of a decision model influence diagram. The diagram is well-known as a good tool for knowledge representation of complex decision problems. Generating influence diagram model is known to in practice require much time and effort, and the resulting model can be generally applicable to only a specific decision problem. In order to reduce the burden of modeling decision problems, the concept of DCA is introduced. DCA treats a set of decision problems having some degree of similarityz as a single unit. We propose a method utilizing a feedforward neural net with supervised learning rule to develop DCA based on influence diagram, which method consists of two phases: Phase l is to search for relevant chance and value nodes of an individual influence diagram from given decision and specific situations and Phase II elicits arcs among the nodes in the diagram. We also examine the results of neural net simulation with an example of a class of decision problems.