Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research (대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지)

The Korean Society of Medical and Biological Engineering (대한의용생체공학회)
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A Preliminary Study of the Transmission Dynamics of HIV Infection and AIDS

HIV 감염과 AIDS의 전파 특성에 관한 기초적 연구

  • 정형환 (동아대학교 공과대학 전기공학과) ;
  • 이광우 (부산외국어대학교 컴퓨터공학과)
  • Published : 1994.09.01
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Abstract

This paper describes some preliminary attempts to formulate simple mathematical models of the transmission dynamics of HIV infection in homosexual communities. In conjunction with a survey of the available epidemiological data on HIV infection and the incidence of AIDS, the model is used to assess how various processes influence the course of the initial epidemic following the introduction of the virus. Models of the early stages of viral spread provide crude methods for estimating the basic reproductive rate of the virus, given a knowledge of the incubation period of AIDS and the initial doubling time of the epidemic. More complex models are formulated to assess the influence of heterogeneity in sexual activity. This latter factor is shown to have a major effect on the predicted pattern of the epidemic.

Keywords

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