推計學的 特性을 考慮한 實時間流出 豫測

Real-Time Forecasting for Runoff Considering Stochastic Component

  • 발행 : 1992.03.01

초록

The objective of this study is to develop a real-time runoff forecasting model considering stochastic component. The model is composed of deterministic and stochastic components. Simplified tank model was selected as a deterministic runoff forecasting model. The time series of estimation residual resulting from the tank model simulation was analyzed and was best suited to the second-order autoregressive model. ARTANK model which combined the tank model with the autoregressive process was developed. And it was applied to a BANWEOL basin for validation. The simulation results showed a good agreement with the observed field data.

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