On the Mathematical Model for Evaluating the Applicability of the Vessel Traffic Management System

우리나라 연안의 해상교통관리시스템 설치를 위한 기초 연구 한국연안의 교통관제대상해역 평가에 관하여

The amount of cargoes and fishery production have increased continuously during the last decade due to the great growth of the Korean economy. These increasements have made our coastal traffic congested, and the future coastal traffic is also expected to increase considerably. The increased traffic can be a cause of large sea pollution as well a s greater sea casualties us as properties and human lives, which could result in a big national loss. In order to prevent the sea casualties and promote the safety of coastal traffic, the Vessel Traffic Management System (VTMS) along the Korean coastal waterway is inevitably introduced. But, the precise evaluation is necessary required prior to the implementation of VTMS because this system necessitates a huge amount of budgets. This paper aims to propose the model of evaluation process, but the evaluation as to the urgency of establishment is not only very complicated and fuzzy but also affected by the subjectivity of human. Therefore, fuzzy integral is adopted as the mathematical model of evaluation in which decision-maker can intervence by making decision considering the calculated membership-function. Four aspects, namely, the frequency of sea-casualities, the traffic volume, the frequency fuzzy day, and the complexity of waterway are selected as the item of evaluation, and the fuzzy measure are applied to the evaluation of 8 candidated regions such as the adjacent area to the port Inchen, Kunsan, Mokpo, Wando, Yosu, Pusan, Pohang, Donghae. As a result of evaluation, the priority as to the candidated regions is obtained, and the following prior execution regions, namely, the adjacent area to the port Pusan, Yosu, Mokpo & Wando are selected by considering the present situation, but, in the long run, the VTMS should be executed in the whole coast of the nation, through the cost-effectiveness analysis.