다중 방책 연구

The layered multi-barrier defense situation against penetrating enemy threat is analytically modeled towards minimizing the penetration probability. Each layer is characterized by probability of detection and probability of kill given detection. The two capabilities are assumed independent. Detection in a layer, however, affects detection performance in subsequent layers. The following three models were formulated and investigated: (1) 'Model A' permits increase of detection performance in only the next barrier, (2) 'Model B' permits the increase in all subsequent barriers linearly, and (3) 'Model C' expresses the increase in an asymptotic exponential way. The best and the worst barrier combinations are determined through model exercise and model performances are compared through sensitivity analysis for the 'intensification factor.'