韓國 沿岸 水溫 및 氣溫의 週期分析과 相關分析

PERIODIC AND CORRELATION ANALYSES BETWEEN WATER TEMPERATURE AND AIR TEMPERATURE IN THE KOREAN WATERS

  • 발행 : 1983.06.01

초록

韓國 沿岸의 定期觀測所 41個所中 各海域別로 內灣側과 外海側 各各 1個所 씩 6個所를 選定 (東海 ; 浦港, 鬱陵島, 南海 ; 濾水, 馬羅島, 西海 ; 馬山, 小靑島) 하여 表面水溫과 氣溫의 旬別累年平均(16-51개년 ; 1923-1979)을 使用하여 Schuster法의 週期分析과 同時에 1個月前의 氣溫과 現在의 水溫과의 相關分析을 最小自乘法에 의한 2次相關式으로 考察한 缺課를 要約하면 다음과 같다. 1) 週期分析 가)年較差는 表面水溫이 外海側 12.77-17.99$^{\circ}C$(計算値 ; 11.67-16.64$^{\circ}C$), 內灣側 15.72-26.33$^{\circ}C$(計算値 ; 15.13-25.29$^{\circ}C$)였고, 氣溫은 外海側과 內灣側 區別 없이 21.71-28.6$0^{\circ}C$(計算値 ; 20.50-27.22$^{\circ}C$)였다. 나)年平均은 表面水溫이 11.25-18.78$^{\circ}C$로 外海側이 內灣側보다 高溫이었고, 氣溫은 11.39-16.16$^{\circ}C$로 緯度가 增加할수록 低溫을 보이고 있다. 다)年週期成分의 振幅은 水溫이 5.72-12.54$^{\circ}C$ 氣溫이 10.04-13.49$^{\circ}C$로서 각각 馬山이 最大, 馬羅島가 最小였다. 라)半年週期成分의 振幅은 水溫이 0.83-1.3$0^{\circ}C$, 氣溫이 0.72-1.26$^{\circ}C$로 外海側은 水溫이, 內灣側은 氣溫이 각각 컸다. 마)年週期成分의 位相은 水溫의 內灣側이 215-228 (極大 ; 8月 上-中旬), 外海側 이 238-244 (極大 ; 8月 下旬)였으며, 氣溫은 212-220 (極大 ; 7月 下旬-8月 上旬)였다. 바)半年週期成分의 位相은 水溫의 外海側이 87-110 로 極大期가 빨라지고, 內灣側은 167-212 로 水溫의 156-189 와 같이 極大期가 늦어진다. 2) 相關分析 가)水溫上昇期의 2次常數는 外海側이 0.010-0.026으로 증형이나, 內灣側은 -0.020-0.001로 漸減형 또는 比例型이었다. 나)水溫下落期의 2次常數는 0.012-0.021로 모두 漸增형이었다. 다)決定係數는 水溫上昇期가 r/sop 2/=0.964-0.992, 水溫下落期가 r$^{2}$=0.982-0.999로서 韓國 沿岸의 表面水溫은 1個月前의 氣溫으로 豫測이 可能하다고 推定된다.

The study on the periodic and correlation analysis between water temperature and air temperature has beenconducted by oceanographic data obtained from 1923 to 1979 (For 16-51 years) in 6 ststions in the Korean Waters. The periodic and correlation analyses has been examined by method of he Schuster's and the quadratic formula of least squares method, respectively. The results pbtained from the study are as follows; 1. Periodic analysis 1) The yearly difference between max. and mini. fo surface water temperature was 12.77-17.99$^{\circ}C$ (computed value : 11.67-16.64$^{\circ}C$) in offshore waters, and was 15.72-26.33$^{\circ}C$ (computed value : 15.13-25.29$^{\circ}C$) in inshore waters, and that of air temperature was 21.71-28.60$^{\circ}C$ (computed value : 10.50-27.22$^{\circ}C$). 2) The yearly mean of water temperature by station was 11.25-18.78$^{\circ}C$, and that of air temperature was 11.39-16.16$^{\circ}C$. 3) The annual compnent amplitrde of water temperature was 5.72-12.54$^{\circ}C$, and that of air temperature was 10.04-13.49$^{\circ}C$. 4) The semi-annual component amplitude of water temperature was 0.83-1.30$^{\circ}C$, and that of air temperature was 0.72-1.26$^{\circ}C$. 5) The annual component phase of water temperature was 215-228$^{\circ}C$ (max. temperature shall be in the first and in the middle ten days of August) in inshore waters and 138-244$^{\circ}C$ (max. temperature shall be in the first and in the middle ten days of August) in offshore waters, and that of air temperarture was 212-221$^{\circ}C$ (max. temperature shall be in the first and in the middle ten days of July and in the first tin days of August). 6) The semi-annual component phase of water temperature was 87-110$^{\circ}C$ in offshore waters, and 167-212$^{\circ}C$ in inshore waters, and that of air temperature was 156-189$^{\circ}C$. 2. Correlation analyses of water temperature and air temperature before one month. 1) When the water temperature is in rising time, the quadratic constant of correlation formual was the gradual inreasing type ( constant; 0.010-0.026) in offshore waters, and the gradual decreasing or proportional type (constant; -0.020-0.001) in inshore waters. 2) when the water temperature is in descending time, the quadratic constant of correlation formula was the gradual increasing type (constant: 0.012-0.021) 3) the determination coefficient was 0.964-0.992 at rising time and 0.982-0.999 at descending time of water temperature.

키워드