A study on the mathematical model of an influenza system control

인플루엔자 류행 관리의 수학적 모델화

  • 정형환 (동아대공대 전기공학과) ;
  • 박상희 (연세대공대 전기공학과)
  • Published : 1981.03.01

Abstract

In this paper, the mathematical model of influenza derived by the state space method induced a new model by using normal distribution curve of incubation period and researched the effect of vaccination. The important results are as follows. (1) A new model represents accurate spread curve. (2) The standard deviation period in Korea is about 1.5 degree. (3) The number of carries of influenza since put in practice to the vaccination 20% is reduced by average 9.8% degree, the period of spread increase 4 days degree. (4) The vaccination at early put in operation was far surperior and the period of spread grow longer more or less. (5) In the first stage of an attack of disease a case increase since reducing. (6) The number of carries at night is reduced by average 5.468% than in the daytime.

Keywords