An Application of the Markov Process to the Management of Hospital Admissions

However, the mechanism for producing revised estimate is the principal means of varying the resulting precisions of estimate. Therefore, a scheduling system including physician's revision should be checked by a computer simulation to evaluate possible gains to admissions scheduling accruing from the use of these estimates. The ability to accurately predict bed occupancy has long been an objective of hospital management. If the one were able to anticipate bed accupancy, then the one could more accurately plan for bed needs, schedule personnel, allocate service and supply. We may conclude that even though the Markov chain analysis would not lead to ready-made answers for the scheduling system of elective patients, it can provide the more detailed and systematic knowledgy for the solutions on the weekly base as well as the foundations for long run planning in relative sense.