A Study on Probabilistic Reliability Evaluation by Using PRA

PRA를 이용한 확률론적 신뢰도 평가에 관한 연구

  • Published : 2006.11.03

Abstract

This paper deals with the application of the concept of POM to analysis of power system behavior and describes a practical method of PRA for KEPCO system. This paper presents not only marginal power flow evaluation of KEPCO system in view point of physical and operation mode by using Physical and Operational Margins (POM Ver. 2.2), which is developed by V&R Energy System Research, but also by using Probabilistic Reliability Assessment (PRA Ver.3.1), which is developed by EPRI. The ability of the method to provide insights on root causes, weak points and regional causes and effects was shown. The approach offers fast and accurate determination of bottlenecks in the transmission network and optimal mitigation measures to alleviate the identified violations.

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