Sensitivity Analysis of Pipeline Rehabilitation Model According to Initial Year Break Rate and Growth Rate Coefficient

초기파손율과 성장계수에 따른 상수관 개량모델의 민감도 분석

This study has Performed to develop rehabilitation model for determination of optimal rehabilitation time on the Cast Iron Pipes (CIP) with diameter less than 300 mm in water pipeline network and to analysis the sensitivity on the rehabilitation times of developed model. In the result from the application of the field, the renovation time was faster about 10 years than the replacement time. Especially, as the difference between rehabilitation and replacement time on E-CIP was about from 3 to 5 years, and it was thought that the replacement was effective on E-CIP. To sensitivity analysis, the discount rate of coefficient was fixed at 0.08, and the values of initial year break rate(N($t_o$) and growth rate coefficient(A) were adjusted in values of 0.0009, 0.0018, 0.0027, and 0.05, 0.10, 0.15 respectively. When the values of N($t_o$) and A was increased, the results from the time of rehabilitation and replacement was faster It was thought that N($t_o$), 0.018 was reliable values on the applied pipeline through the result of the study. In case of A, the values of A above 0.1 was thought to be Proper.