한국철도학회:학술대회논문집 (Proceedings of the KSR Conference)
- 한국철도학회 2005년도 추계학술대회 논문집
- /
- Pages.889-896
- /
- 2005
경부고속철도 수송수요의 예측치와 실측치의 비교분석
Comparative Analysis of Forecasted and Measured Traffic Demand for Gyung-bu High Speed Railway
초록
While a year and a half has been passed since the launch of KTX service, traffic volume of Gyung-bu High Speed Railway is still much lower than the forecasted value. This situation has been badly affecting not only Korail's financial status but also KRNA's general railway construction projects as general public responds negatively to such projects as New Ho-nam Line Construction. This paper outlines traffic volume forecasting methodologies applied to construction of Gyung-bu High Speed Railway, identifies major causes of forecasting deviations. and finally extracts problems through comparison between the forecasted results and actual traffic volume.
키워드