일사량 확률분포함수를 이용한 태양광 발전시스템 발전량 예측

Photovoltaic Generation System Output Forecasting using Irradiance Probability Distribution Function

  • 이일룡 (한양대학교 전기공학과) ;
  • 배인수 (한양대학교 전기공학과) ;
  • 정창호 (한양대학교 전기공학과) ;
  • 김진오 (한양대학교 전기공학과) ;
  • 심헌 ((주)에스 에너지)
  • 발행 : 2004.07.14

초록

This paper suggests a methodology for calculation of photovoltaic(PV) generation system output using probability distribution function, PV way efficiency and PV system design Parameters. Long term irradiance recorded for every hour of the day for 11 years were used. For goodness-fit test, several distribution functions are tested by Kolmogorov- Smirnov(K-S) test. And the calculated generation output is compared with that of CMS(Centered Monitoring System), which can monitoring PV generation output of each PV generation site.

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