변전소의 다중상태를 고려한 송전시스템의 내진 신뢰성 평가

Seismic Reliability Evaluation of Electric Power Transmission Systems Considering the Multi-state of Substations

The technique for the seismic reliability evaluation of the electric power network is presented. In the previous study, the state of the substations was represented by the bi-state which is classified as failure or survival. However, the hi-state model can result in oversimplified analysis, because substations are worked by the parallel operating system. In this paper, Considering the characteristics of the parallel operating system, the damage of the substation is expressed by the multi-state for the more realistic seismic reliability evaluation. Using Monte-Carlo simulation method, the seismic reliability for Korean 345㎸ electric power network is evaluated. Analysis results show that reliability levels of the network by the multi-state analysis is higher than that by the hi-state analysis and the electric power network in southeastern area of the Korean Peninsular may be vulnerable to earthquakes.