확률론적 조류계산을 이용한 송전 신뢰도 여유 계산

Calculate Transmission Reliability Margin using Probabilistic Load Flow

As a definition of NERC, Available Transfer Capability(ATC) is a measure of the transfer capability remaining in the physical transmission network for the future commercial activity. To calculate ATC, accurate and defensible TTC, CBM and TRM should be calculated in advance. In this paper, we propose a method to quantify TRM using probabilistic load flow based on the method of moment. Generation output, bus voltages, loads, and line outages are considered as complex random variables (CRV) to take into account for uncertainties related to the transmission network conditions. Probability Density Function (PDF) of line flow at the most limiting line is used to quantify TRM with the desired probabilistic margin. Suggested method is compared with the results from conventional CPF method and verified using 24 bus MRTS, and the suggested method based on PLF shows efficiency and flexibility for the quantification of TRM compared with the conventional method.