Short-term load forecasting using Kohonen neural network and wavelet transform

코호넨 신경회로망과 웨이브릿 변환을 이용한 단기부하예측

This paper proposes a novel wavelet transform and Kohonen neural network based technique for short-time load forecasting of power systems. Firstly. Kohonen Self-organizing map(KSOM) is applied to classify the loads and then the Daubechies D2, D4 and D10 wavelet transforms are adopted in order to forecast the short-term loads. The wavelet coefficients associated with certain frequency and time localisation are adjusted using the conventional multiple regression method and then reconstructed in order to forecast the final loads through a four-scale synthesis technique. The outcome of the study clearly indicates that the proposed composite model of Kohonen neural network and wavelet transform approach can be used as an attractive and effective means for short-term load forecasting.