한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집 (Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference)
- 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 1996년도 춘계공동학술대회논문집; 공군사관학교, 청주; 26-27 Apr. 1996
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- Pages.733-736
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- 1996
한정된 데이타하에서 인공신경망을 이용한 기업도산예측-섬유 및 의류산업을 중심으로-
Bankruptcy Prdiction Based on Limited Data of Artificial neural Network -in Textiles and Clothing Industries-
초록
Neural Network(NN) is known to be suitable for forecasting corporate bankruptcy because of discriminant capability. Bankruptcy prediciton on NN by now has mostly been studied based on financial indices at specific point of time. However, the financial profile of corporates fluctuates within a certain range with the elapse of time. Besides, we need a lot of data of different bankrupt types in order to apply NN for better bankruptcy prediciton. Therefore, we have decided to focus on textiles and clothing industries for bankruptcy prediction with limited data. One part of the collected data was used for training and calibration, and the other was used for verification. The model makes a learning with extended data from financial indices at specific point of time. The trained model has been tested and we could get a high hitting ratio relatively.
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