A neural network model for predicting atlantic hurricane activity

  • Kwon, Ohseok (Open Solution Center Information Technology R and D Division Samsung Data System) ;
  • Golden, Bruce (College of Business and Management university of Maryland College Park)
  • Published : 1996.10.01

Abstract

Modeling techniques such as linear regression have been used to predict hurricane activity many months in advance of the start of the hurricane season with some success. In this paper, we construct feedforward neural networks to model Atlantic basin hurricane activity and compare the predictions of our neural network models to the predictions produced by statistical models found in the weather forecasting literature. We find that our neural network models produce reasonably accurate predictions that, for the most part, compare favorably to the predictions of statistical models.

Keywords