Maintenance Scheduling with Considering Load Forecast Uncertainty

수요예측의 불확실성을 고려한 발전기의 정기 보수계획수립

This paper proposes a new algorithm for maintenance scheduling with considering load forecast uncertainty. The proposed algorithm is based on the equivalent load of effective load carrying capability(ELCC) of generators. The uncertainty of forecasted load is considered as a normal distribution probability density function. For maintenance scheduling, reserve levelization method and risk levelization method are used in this study. To test the algorithm, we applied the proposed method to IEEE reliability test system(IEEE RTS). As a result, we verified the validity of the proposed method.